Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1.662619 1.896781 2.153757 2.456964 2.805301 3.193379 3.659110
2025-09-14 1.343844 1.655419 2.025635 2.499053 3.089979 3.805359 4.740326
2025-09-21 1.099993 1.444423 1.881763 2.480198 3.281580 4.323021 5.787793
2025-09-28 0.896667 1.243145 1.708699 2.383863 3.344570 4.672345 6.663681
2025-10-05 0.807951 1.176161 1.696788 2.492648 3.689457 5.439464 8.224020
2025-10-12 0.740190 1.125683 1.696287 2.611035 4.057377 6.283788 10.023944
2025-10-19 0.669847 1.059420 1.660271 2.665750 4.329480 7.013173 11.751077
2025-10-26 0.609238 0.998699 1.622429 2.708224 4.581852 7.738068 13.574079
2025-11-02 0.537218 0.909380 1.525916 2.638089 4.631533 8.124512 14.861807
2025-11-09 0.465605 0.811404 1.402115 2.502790 4.545242 8.255592 15.695638
2025-11-16 0.422233 0.756884 1.345863 2.478559 4.652988 8.745542 17.272337
2025-11-23 0.381024 0.701214 1.280652 2.428472 4.703276 9.130014 18.693109
2025-11-30 0.363946 0.689069 1.295410 2.535705 5.080476 10.216174 21.759692
2025-12-07 0.341380 0.663904 1.282768 2.587834 5.355314 11.138035 24.639576
2025-12-14 0.313661 0.625419 1.239729 2.572655 5.488104 11.782649 27.016825
2025-12-21 0.280661 0.572562 1.161927 2.474698 5.429219 12.004074 28.456110
2025-12-28 0.271546 0.567787 1.181847 2.588994 5.855575 13.368208 32.863936
2026-01-04 0.263708 0.564734 1.204849 2.712812 6.320982 14.891217 37.942117
2026-01-11 0.250831 0.549246 1.199100 2.770092 6.637253 16.105448 42.446476
2026-01-18 0.238036 0.532478 1.188524 2.814480 6.928146 17.300033 47.118115
2026-01-25 0.218091 0.497280 1.132235 2.741538 6.914838 17.719854 49.720806
2026-02-01 0.195663 0.453964 1.052479 2.600712 6.707250 17.600830 50.757633
2026-02-08 0.182647 0.431624 1.020049 2.575505 6.801351 18.305333 54.357240